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Future Electricity Supply Vulnerability and Climate Change: A Case Study of Maricopa and Los Angeles Counties


Abstract Climatic changes have the potential to impact electricity generation in the U.S. Southwest and methods are needed for estimating how cities will be impacted. This study builds an electricity vulnerability risk index for two Southwest cities (Phoenix and Los Angeles) based on climate-related changes in electricity generation capacity. Planning reserve margins (PRM) are used to estimate the potential for blackouts and brownouts under future climate scenarios. Reductions in PRM occur in both cities in 2016 with the most significant reductions occurring in regions relying more heavily on hydropower.
Contributor Sivaraman, Deepak (Author) / Bartos, Matthew (Author) / Chester, Mikhail (Author) / Pincetl, Stephanie (Author)
Identifier Stock Number: ASU-CESEM-2014-WPS-003
Rights All Rights Reserved
Collaborating Institutions Center for Earth Systems Engineering and Management / School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment (SSEBE)
Additional Formats MODS / OAI Dublin Core / RIS


  ASU-CESEM-2014-WPS-003-sivaraman.pdf
1.0 MB application/pdf