The Economic Effects of Government Spending Reductions Relative to Other Options: A Report From the Office of the University Economist

The state government general fund shortfall in the next fiscal year is projected to be $2.4 billion. A projected shortfall of $1.6 billion will need to be closed through spending reductions and/or revenue enhancements. The Legislature has focused on reductions in funding to state agencies. However demand does not decline for most public-sector services during a recession. Spending reductions by governments during recessions also worsen economic conditions. State spending cuts would worsen and lengthen the economic recession. The negative economic effects from a personal tax increase would be less than those of a governmental spending decrease. The demand for university services also does not drop during recessions. Any reduction in funding for universities will have a negative and direct effect. A substantial decrease in state government funding for universities will have negative consequences beyond these short-term effects. Any action--such as budget cuts--that undermines the success of the state's universities also impairs the state's economy.